Wednesday, July 8, 2009

What's the Mission

Commentary's current catchphrase is "It's not a just a Magazine it's a mission. But what is that mission exactly? There has been much talk lately about the "Israel lobby" and it's nefarious influence on American policies. There may or may not be an "Israel lobby" but a quick read of Commentary makes it clear that if such a thing does exist it Commentary is certainly not one of its organs.

The recent posting "Does Will Prefer a Nuclear Iran to a Neocon Washington?" by Jonathan Tobin is a case in point. The article basically makes two points. First that the neocons where right about Iraq and they are right about Iran as well.

I will deal with the two arguments in reverse order. The argument that Iran is an existential threat to the United States is patently ludicrous. Iran does not have a nuclear bomb. Iran doesn't have missiles which can reach the United States. And even if they were to take out an American city, this would not put the United States in mortal danger. Iran might in a couple of years pose an existential threat to Israel.

But even this would almost certainly not truly manifest for years probably decades. Iran has been nothing if not a logical operator. Iran's suppression of the pro-democracy demonstrators was quite restrained. The Chinese who do have nuclear weapons ready to launch capable of taking out several US cities were more violent in putting down the Muslim demonstrators in it's western provinces. But one hardly hears about China on Commentary. Iran is clearly not suicidal. The chances of a first strike on Israel, which probably has hundreds of nuclear weapons is incredibly remote.

The real fear that Israeli partisans have is that with a nuclear deterrent Iran could through the support of terrorism in Lebanon and Israel grind Israel down to the point where it would be overwhelmed with demographic disasters posed by the occupied territories, and the recent decision to throw away the forty years of remarkable loyalty of Arab Israeli citizens over a few peaceful demonstrations. The inflation of the Iranian threat seems to be a pro-Israel position. But it must be remembered that the real threat to Israel is the demographic pressures of Arabs in Israel and in the occupied territories. Iran could only facilitate the crises which is almost entirely of Israel's own making.

But the real indication that Mr. Tobin's heart is not with Israel is the first argument. One could make an argument that Iraq has been a success for the United States, though there are great difficulties. However, it is almost impossible to make the argument that the Iraq war has been a success for Israel. The destruction of the Hussein government allowed Iran to greatly expand its power in the peninsula. The ability of Iran to pose a real threat to Israel though terrorism is almost entirely the result of the Iraq war. A true Israeli partisan could not call the Iraq war a success without qualifying that statement with an acknowledgment of the war's cost to Israel's strategic decision.

What then is the mission? If Commentary is not primarily advancing America's interest and also not primarily advancing Israel's interest, whose interest is advancing? One could argue that the magazine is advancing the interest of the Republican party. It is true that the articles are almost universally critical of the Democratic party and supportive of the Republican party and Jennifer Rubin does seem to envision herself as as Jewish Sarah Palin, but even this association misses the mark.

Deep down Commentary is a neocon magazine. And neocon's are their own true north their own mission. They are no more loyal to Israel than America or the Soviet Union. They are no more Jewish than Atheist than Jewish. They are loyal to capitalism no more than socialism no more than communism. Their only faith is in the sufficiency of their own human actions.

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